If investors learned anything from
the 2000-2002 recession, and the
corresponding decline in the stock
market, they should have learned that
their investment portfolios need to be
diversified. So how knowledgeable are
you about diversification and asset
allocation?
You probably know that there are
several asset classes, such as cash,
domestic and international stocks, corporate
and government bonds, real
estate, precious metals, oil and gas.
The question is: What percentage of
your portfolio should be invested in
each asset class? Well, there are two
different approaches.
We could do market timing and sector
rotation. However, this is extremely
dangerous, as people make the
wrong choices at the wrong time, selling
when the market hits bottom and
buying at the top.
Or we can simply own everything, all
of the time. This is the notion of diversification,
which says we don't have to
pick the best horse in the race. If we just
bet on every horse, we'll do fine. Of
course, that raises the next question. Do
we literally take our money and put it
equally into each investment class? Or
is there a better way?
That answer is right at your fingertips
in the institutional financial press,
such as Institutional Investor magazine,
Pensions and Investments magazine,
and CFO magazine. These are
magazines written for and read by professional
money managers as opposed
to magazines written by consumers for
consumers. If you want to achieve professional-
level results, you must take a
look at how professionals do it.
Pensions and Investments magazine
conducts an annual survey of the
1,000 largest pension funds in
America. Why is it worthwhile to pay
attention to the big pension funds?
After all, you're not a big pension
fund. You certainly cannot invest your
money as they do theirs. Or can you?
Most people have never examined
how pension funds manage money, but
you will find it an interesting approach
to consider. Let me illustrate why. If
you took $100 and walked into a supermarket,
and I took $100 and walked
into the same supermarket, what are
the odds that we would both walk out
with an identical basket of grocery
items? Not likely is it? Now suppose
we both enter with $1 million to
spend. What are we going to walk out
with? We'll walk out with identical
products because we had to buy everything
they had in the store. We had no
choice. Similarly, what does CalPERS
pension fund, with $182 billion in
assets, or General Motors, with $102
billion in assets, buy? They buy stocks.
They buy nearly every stock. They
don't have any choice.
The key is not what stocks they buy.
They all own the same stocks. The
question is: How much of each investment
do they own? Let's take that
question to the next level. How much
do they have invested in stocks vs.
bonds vs. real estate vs. cash vs. international
securities? The answer to that asset allocation question is the
key to successful investing. That is
why it's so important for us to discover
how pension funds are investing
their money.
How Do the Professionals Do It?
There are five major asset classes:
U.S. stocks, international stocks,
bonds, real estate, and cash. So let's
take a look at how the pension funds
invest. When Pensions and
Investments magazine looked at the
large pension funds, they demonstrated
that among the 1,000 largest pension
funds, there is remarkable consistency
about how they manage their
money. But the way they manage their
money is remarkably different from
how consumers manage theirs.
Now, who do you expect to be better
at managing money — the pension
fund managers or individuals handling
their 401(k)? Clearly the pension funds
were better. Pension funds owned 50%
U.S. stocks and 17% international
stocks. Individual investors had 70%
invested in U.S. stocks, but only 5% in
international. So pension funds have
67% in stocks, but individuals have
75%. Consumers are more aggressive,
more heavily invested in stocks than
are professionals. Now look at the
bonds: Institutions have 23% in bonds;
individuals have 5%. How about real
estate? Professionals have 5%; the
average individual investors did not
invest in real estate. Finally, let's look
at cash: Institutions place about 5% in
cash, just enough to meet their liquidity
needs. But the American consumer
has 20% in cash.
Think about these numbers.
Consumers have too much in cash, no
real estate, few bonds and almost no
international investments. If you want
to achieve professional-level results,
look at how professionals do it.
Diversify Your Stock Allocation
There is another important distinction
between professional money managers
and individual investors.
Professional money managers will not
place more than 1% of assets in any
one stock. However, individual
investors typically place huge
amounts of money in individual
stocks, especially their employer's
stock. When employees have the ability
to buy stock in the company for
which they work, that's exactly what
they do. Often, half of their total stock
allocation is in their employer's stock.
Remember, pension fund managers
never invest more than 1% of assets in
any company, yet workers routinely
put 43% of their investment assets in
their company's stock. This is wildly
speculative and can be extremely dangerous.
Workers are placing far too big
a bet on the company they work for.
Remember Enron and WorldCom?
Make sure you don't repeat those
employees' mistakes.
Think Globally
Many consumers say they only
want to invest in the United States.
They know and trust U.S. companies.
Average investors need to change their
perspective to invest like professionals.
If you invest only in the United
States, you will not invest in 7 of the
world's 10 largest companies. You
will not invest in 7 of the world's 10
largest insurance companies; you will
not invest in 7 of the world's 10
largest utilities. You will miss 8 of the
world's 10 largest auto, appliance,
and chemical companies. You will
also ignore 9 out of 10 of the world's
largest technology companies as well
as 9 of the 10 largest banks. So if
you're thinking of investing in stocks,
focus globally.
These are the asset allocation strategies
used by professionals. I am not
suggesting that you blindly copy what
institutional investors are doing. You
need to decide for yourself how much
of your money is going to be in stocks
vs. bonds vs. real estate, vs. gold vs.
government securities. My point is that
you need to be aware of how professionals
invest money, and you need to
realize the mistakes consumers make.
Diversification Lowers Risk
You might ask, "Why should we put
money in bonds? Everyone knows that
bonds don't make as much money as
stocks. So why don't we just invest in
all the different sectors of stocks?"
First, in a declining market there are
no safe places to hide (remember 2000-
2002?). Second, remember 9/11? Wall
Street closed for days. If you had
money in stocks, you could not sell
shares for several days. If you needed
money for any reason, you could not
get your hands on it.
A study in the Financial Analyst
Journal reviewed the financial markets
for the 20 years between 1972
through 1992. In the 1970s the stock
market was declining, the bond market
was going up, and the real estate
and gold markets were moving sideways.
The '70s were followed by the
bull market of the 1980s, when stocks
did fabulously and interest rates
dropped significantly.
An investment in 100% stocks during
this 20-year time actually underperformed
an even distribution over
the five asset classes. The reason: The
stock portfolio was twice as volatile
as the highly diversified portfolio.
Consequently, we know that owning
stocks is beneficial, but over the long
term you can make just as much
money with the diversified portfolio,
while assuming significantly less
risk!
Almost everyone looks at return;
few look at the risk they are assuming.
Proper investment strategies consider
both. Make sure you do too ...
and you'll join the ranks of professional-
level investors.
Ric Edelman, CFS, CMFC, RFC,
CRC, QFP, BCM, is the author of five
books on personal finance, including
national bestseller The Truth About
Money. His firm, Edelman Financial
Services Inc., manages more than $2.4
billion in client assets.
Learn more about Ric Edelman and
his bestselling program No-Nonsense
System for Building Wealth.